In this paper, we present a discrete event model, developed and implemented using colored Petri nets. The proposed model uses empirical data distributions to simulate the forced population displacement flows observed during the Mosul military operations in 2016-2017. The simulation model allows estimation of the magnitude and destination of the flows within identified routes (between districts in Iraq) and the simulation results appear to reproduce the aggregate displacements actually experienced.

Modeling and simulation of forced population displacement flows using colored Petri nets

Longo F.
2017

Abstract

In this paper, we present a discrete event model, developed and implemented using colored Petri nets. The proposed model uses empirical data distributions to simulate the forced population displacement flows observed during the Mosul military operations in 2016-2017. The simulation model allows estimation of the magnitude and destination of the flows within identified routes (between districts in Iraq) and the simulation results appear to reproduce the aggregate displacements actually experienced.
978-88-97999-98-0
Colored Petri nets; Discrete event simulation; Forced population displacement; Mosul; Stochastic modeling
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11770/301308
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