Irregular immigration and depopulation are two economic-demographic phenomena that often tend to represent a threat to the territory; from this arises the need for a strategy that could create a univocal solution, aimed at resolving both issues, that is to favor the integration of immigrants within the so-called "Ghost Towns", allowing them to be repopulated and guaranteeing consequently the economic development not only of the countries themselves but also at the national and European level if applied to several realities. The purpose of this model is to reveal how the Gosht Towns would be repopulated if part of the structured funds disbursed by the European Union were destined for their restructuring, creating real inhabited centers within which immigrants can regulate themselves and integrate for a long-time term. We will start from the analysis of a micro-reality characterized by high levels of depopulation, it will be demonstrated with an economic model that as regular immigration increases, depopulation can be reduced and after the establishment of the strategy, the numerical demonstrations of the expected results will be reported. which may in the future be applied to even larger realities, but with the same characteristics. We want to demonstrate in detail how from the comparison between the actual demographic indicators and the hypothetical ones (those that would be after the application of the model) an increase in the rate of variation of the territory will emerge and there will be an increase in the immigration quotient and a positive migratory balance determined by the regularization of immigrants who will, in turn, contribute to obtaining a positive balance between tax revenue and public spending since having regular immigrants is a positive thing, even for the state coffers. For the creation of the model object of this article, research will be carried out (including empirical ones), statisticaldemographic forecasts, and economic and mathematical models that will demonstrate the truthfulness of the expected results or any repercussions.
Irregular immigration and Depopulation: a solution to repopulate the "Ghost Towns
Eveny Ciurleo
;Ilaria Zafferano
2022-01-01
Abstract
Irregular immigration and depopulation are two economic-demographic phenomena that often tend to represent a threat to the territory; from this arises the need for a strategy that could create a univocal solution, aimed at resolving both issues, that is to favor the integration of immigrants within the so-called "Ghost Towns", allowing them to be repopulated and guaranteeing consequently the economic development not only of the countries themselves but also at the national and European level if applied to several realities. The purpose of this model is to reveal how the Gosht Towns would be repopulated if part of the structured funds disbursed by the European Union were destined for their restructuring, creating real inhabited centers within which immigrants can regulate themselves and integrate for a long-time term. We will start from the analysis of a micro-reality characterized by high levels of depopulation, it will be demonstrated with an economic model that as regular immigration increases, depopulation can be reduced and after the establishment of the strategy, the numerical demonstrations of the expected results will be reported. which may in the future be applied to even larger realities, but with the same characteristics. We want to demonstrate in detail how from the comparison between the actual demographic indicators and the hypothetical ones (those that would be after the application of the model) an increase in the rate of variation of the territory will emerge and there will be an increase in the immigration quotient and a positive migratory balance determined by the regularization of immigrants who will, in turn, contribute to obtaining a positive balance between tax revenue and public spending since having regular immigrants is a positive thing, even for the state coffers. For the creation of the model object of this article, research will be carried out (including empirical ones), statisticaldemographic forecasts, and economic and mathematical models that will demonstrate the truthfulness of the expected results or any repercussions.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.