As the global demand for clean and sustainable energy grows, photovoltaics (PVs) have become an important technology in this industry. Thin-film and flexible PV modules offer noticeable advantages for irregular surface mounts and mobile applications. This study investigates the use of four machine learning models to detect different flexible PV module geometries based on power output data. Three identical flexible PV modules were mounted in flat, concave, and convex configurations and connected to batteries via solar chargers. The experimental results showed that all geometries fully charged their batteries within 6–7 h on a sunny day with the flat, concave-, and convex-shaped modules achieving a peak power of 95 W. On a cloudy day, the concave and convex modules recorded peak outputs of 72 W and 65 W, respectively. Simulation results showed that the XGBoost model delivered the best classification performance, showing 93% precision with the flat-mounted module and 98% recall across all geometries. In comparison, the KAN model recorded the lowest precision (78%) with the curved geometries. A calibration analysis on the ML models showed that Random Forest and XGBoost were well calibrated for the flat-mounted module. However, they also showed overconfidence and underconfidence issues with the curved module geometries.

Flat vs. Curved: Machine Learning Classification of Flexible PV Panel Geometries

Bevilacqua, Piero
2025-01-01

Abstract

As the global demand for clean and sustainable energy grows, photovoltaics (PVs) have become an important technology in this industry. Thin-film and flexible PV modules offer noticeable advantages for irregular surface mounts and mobile applications. This study investigates the use of four machine learning models to detect different flexible PV module geometries based on power output data. Three identical flexible PV modules were mounted in flat, concave, and convex configurations and connected to batteries via solar chargers. The experimental results showed that all geometries fully charged their batteries within 6–7 h on a sunny day with the flat, concave-, and convex-shaped modules achieving a peak power of 95 W. On a cloudy day, the concave and convex modules recorded peak outputs of 72 W and 65 W, respectively. Simulation results showed that the XGBoost model delivered the best classification performance, showing 93% precision with the flat-mounted module and 98% recall across all geometries. In comparison, the KAN model recorded the lowest precision (78%) with the curved geometries. A calibration analysis on the ML models showed that Random Forest and XGBoost were well calibrated for the flat-mounted module. However, they also showed overconfidence and underconfidence issues with the curved module geometries.
2025
flexible PV
geometry classification
Kolmogorov–Arnold Network
Random Forest
XGBoost
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11770/399426
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